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Victoria Population Growth Net Overseas Migration News

Victoria grows by 100,000 people a year, Tim Colebatch, Fairfax.

‘Victoria’s population growth has surged to more than 100,000 a year for the first time since 2009, as net overseas migration swelled to a four-year high.


The Bureau of Statistics estimates that the state’s population grew by 102,000 or 1.82 per cent in the year to March. It was the biggest growth of any state, and in the March quarter the biggest increase from net migration.


The ABS estimates the number of permanent and long-term migrants arriving in Australia rose to more than 500,000 in the year to March, also for the first time since 2009.

Most of them eventually depart, so net overseas migration in the year to March was 238,300. After climbing almost 40 per cent from 172,000 in 2010, this appears to have peaked, with migrant inflows into the resource states slowing as mining construction declines…

…But the bragging rights from rapid population growth come at a cost. If the growth in population is not matched by growth in the infrastructure to support it, it leads to congestion on the roads, in public transport and in hospital wards…’

Misleading describing temporary residents included in net overseas migration as ‘immigrants’ when majority will never become permanent residents?  

Permanent immigration is only one part of net overseas migration, in addition to international students, backpackers, 457 workers, New Zealanders, returning Australians and dependents under the 12/16 rule.

Using headlines statistics and making unsubstantiated negative claims about this eclectic mix of people:

“But the bragging rights from rapid population growth come at a cost. If the growth in population is not matched by growth in the infrastructure to support it, it leads to congestion on the roads, in public transport and in hospital wards.”

Such messages have resonance and plausibility among Australians when presented by media and taken at face value, but is it actually true?  

Without any qualitative analysis, nor empirical evidence, e.g. is the existing estimated resident population using public transport more often anyway, hospitals dealing with funding cuts and ageing population, too many cars with few people in them?

Where do these claims or correlations come from?

Like Dr. Bob Birrell and Healey at Monash University’s  CPUR, Betts, Mark O’Connor of Sustainable Population Australia and Stable Population Party, had all contributed to John Tanton’s The Social Contract Press in the USA in the 1990s:

The Social Contract Press (TSCP) routinely publishes race-baiting articles penned by white nationalists. The press is a program of U.S. Inc, the foundation created by John Tanton, the racist founder and principal ideologue of the modern nativist movement. TSCP puts an academic veneer of legitimacy over what are essentially racist arguments about the inferiority of today’s immigrants

….The Social Contract Press (TSCP) was founded in 1990 by John Tanton, a man who has set up and funded several anti-immigration groups over the past 30 years. TSCP is the publishing wing of Tanton’s network of organizations. In addition to putting out books, many of them extremely anti-immigrant, TSCP prints a quarterly journal, The Social Contract, which has featured articles by dozens of white nationalists and anti-immigrant extremists.

perhaps its most inflammatory publication is The Immigration Invasion. Put out in 1994, the book was co-written by Tanton and white nationalist Wayne Lutton, The Social Contract’s current editor. It is so incendiary that Canadian border authorities have banned it as hate literature

….The winter 2006-2007 issue of The Social Contract consisted entirely of reprints of articles from the hate site, which features racist and anti-Semitic articles.

Of course they learnt that if you want influence and political leverage for such bigotry, one would not get very far being open about it, except when Tanton himself went “rogue” and published his personal letters and memos……
In Australia’s case emerging from white Australia policy era (which Tanton admired), public discourse needed to be coded (after John Howard was rightly criticised for questioning levels of “Asian Immigration” late 1980s), this is when Tanton’s influence seem to emerge via “friends” in Australian academia and politics (in addition to regular visits to Australia, especially Roy Beck of NumbersUSA and Paul Ehrlich (friend of Bob Carr), and former colleague of Tanton, but ‘publicly’ distanced himself..
Accordingly Tanton, as a concerned environmentalist, framed the message in terms of population growth, immigration and refugees, correlating them with proxy issues e.g. infrastructure, environment, carry capacity, water resources, finite resources, health care, education, English language, identity, islam, global warming, employment, real estate etc., “dog whistling”……

Greenwashing “A quarter of a century ago, John Tanton, a white nationalist who would go on to almost single-handedly construct the contemporary, hard-line anti-immigration movement, wrote about his secret desire to bring the Sierra Club, the nation’s largest environmental organization, into the nativist fold. He spelled out his motive clearly: Using an organization perceived by the public as part of the liberal left would insulate nativists from charges of racism — charges that, given the explicitly pro-“European-American” advocacy of Tanton and many of his allies over the years, would likely otherwise stick.”
Sound familiar?  The same song sheet as Birrell et al who provide all Australians with a feel good environmental message via population growth through Australian media, allowing them to sanctimoniously mask their own prejudices.
Journalists, media, politicians and public personalities need to be careful whose message they are actually promoting…. Would be quite embarrassing for anyone to acknowledge the deeper lying bigotry, if they have been using some of the above as “expert” sources for some decades….. What would Sir John Monash think?

Ironically, it seems in recent years that Labor has taken on this “message” (plan to reduce of lower NOM) more so than the LNP (except refugees of course), like the Republicans in the USA are learning, it’s not good political strategy to demonise your future constituencies in changing demography.

AIEC Australian International Education Immigration Development Population News.

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